Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000940 0.001078 0.001217 0.001365 0.001521 0.001677 0.001846
2026-02-01 0.000710 0.000906 0.001110 0.001336 0.001577 0.001824 0.002097
2026-02-08 0.000550 0.000788 0.001045 0.001336 0.001653 0.001984 0.002352
2026-02-15 0.000428 0.000697 0.000998 0.001348 0.001735 0.002144 0.002604
2026-02-22 0.000335 0.000629 0.000969 0.001372 0.001826 0.002310 0.002858
2026-03-01 0.000241 0.000544 0.000913 0.001361 0.001872 0.002424 0.003053
2026-03-08 0.000153 0.000455 0.000843 0.001328 0.001889 0.002501 0.003205
2026-03-15 0.000101 0.000403 0.000814 0.001338 0.001953 0.002627 0.003407
2026-03-22 0.000054 0.000346 0.000772 0.001329 0.001991 0.002723 0.003573
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000313 0.000759 0.001353 0.002064 0.002856 0.003778
2026-04-05 0.000006 0.000267 0.000722 0.001345 0.002100 0.002944 0.003933
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000214 0.000671 0.001315 0.002107 0.002998 0.004048
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000137 0.000584 0.001252 0.002089 0.003045 0.004176
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000087 0.000529 0.001226 0.002118 0.003144 0.004366
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000054 0.000495 0.001228 0.002179 0.003281 0.004599
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000032 0.000471 0.001241 0.002252 0.003431 0.004847
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000017 0.000457 0.001265 0.002339 0.003597 0.005111
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000002 0.000420 0.001255 0.002381 0.003709 0.005313
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000372 0.001222 0.002393 0.003783 0.005471
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000353 0.001232 0.002457 0.003920 0.005698
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000323 0.001224 0.002496 0.004024 0.005888
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000314 0.001247 0.002575 0.004175 0.006129
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000288 0.001239 0.002613 0.004276 0.006313